Atheists / non-christians: Do you believe in a historical Jesus?

I always thought he was probably an actual person, but lately I am not so sure. There's no direct evidence, and the gospels themselves were written 100 - 200 years after he lived. So there's no eyewitness testimony that could possibly have been written by someone who actually saw Jesus. christians sometimes drag out the old chestnut of "Well there's more proof for Jesus than Julius Caesar," but this fallacy is easily trumped by the fact that we have accounts written by Caesar himself and coins of him minted during his reign. This is first-hand evidence. No such luck with Jesus, and he didn't leave a scrap of his own writing so all we know is what other people said about him. The REAL founder of christianity, Saul of Tarsus, doesn't even acknowledge any historical accounts of Jesus (other than his hallucination), which you think he would do if Jesus had actually existed. I just don't see a single piece of hard evidence. What do you think?